Category: Sample


Our written publications highlight macroeconomic opportunities and risks, provide actionable investment insights, and expose popular misconceptions.

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SAMPLE: Japan’s Increasingly Robust Economic Expansion

October 4, 2017
By many measures, Japan's economy is showing the most sustained, robust growth since its bubble burst in the early 1990s. As long as global conditions remain benign, Japan Inc. appears poised to accelerate.

SAMPLE: The Metamorphosis of the Emerging Market Bubble

March 2, 2017
While investors hang on to a story of solid long-term EM growth, what keeps the EM expansion from collapsing is strong government deficit spending, high liquidity from foreign lenders, and speculative markets. This is not your father’s EM sector.

SAMPLE: Reports of the Treasury Bull Market’s Demise Are Greatly Exaggerated

January 25, 2017
As has often been the case over the past quarter century, the call for the demise of the secular bull market in bonds is premature. We maintain that the secular low in yields is ahead and not behind. The underpinnings of the secular decline in yields—pervasive, chronic overcapacity and financial fragility—all persist.

SAMPLE: Exaggerated Importance of QE Redux

November 14, 2014
The end of QE will not depress U.S. stock prices. We continue to expect U.S. markets to outperform most other major stock markets around the world.

SAMPLE: China’s Troubles: Further Reason to Underweight or Short Emerging Markets

July 11, 2013
We wrote in the summer of 2013 that China’s leaders “may well feel compelled to shift toward policies that directly harm their EM brethren: currency devaluation, enhanced support and subsidies for exports, and dumping” – all of which have come true over the past few years.

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